The stock market is starting to show the symptoms of a typical bull market. Firstly, investors were not
afraid at all as the KLCI approached the 76.6 pts RSI yesterday, which helped the benchmark index to
stretch its gains within the overbought territory. Another very positive development is that this time, it
was the broader market which fueled buying sentiment on the KLCI component stocks instead,
eventually sending the key index higher by 10.06 pts.
We have said that it is not impossible for the key index to stretch the current uptrend. Although
the market has entered overbought territory, the KLCI could still rally further and carry the daily
RSI over the 80 pt-mark. We have seen this happen many times before in a typical bull market in
the past, especially when the weekly and monthly RSIs are far from being overbought.
Of course, the key technical indicator to watch out today is the daily RSI, which is now trading at the 79
pt-level. No doubt that the market is becoming more and more overbought, but the conviction and
confidence of buyers are also improving by the day since the breakout from the 100-day MAV line. This
type of market sentiment is essential at this stage to carry the KLCI further away from the 200-day MAV
line. Yesterday’s rally is the initial confirmation of a decisive violation of the 200-day MAV line.
Meanwhile, the near-term technical outlook of the KLCI remains firmly bullish. We are still eyeing
a strong support at the 200-day MAV line, which is now situated at the 959 pt-level. An additional
support is seen at the 936 pt-level, followed by the 925 pt-level. To the upside, continue to look for the
1,000 pt-level as the next formidable resistance
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